Thursday, January 16, 2014

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Concerns, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Yen Strength, Transport/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.49 +1.71%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.15 -.12%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.71 +.11%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.52 +1.66%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 159.0 +43.24%
  • Total Put/Call .77 +2.67%
  • NYSE Arms 1.48 +71.04% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.72 +1.66%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.23 +.78%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 50.0 unch.
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 285.86 +1.51%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 246.0 -3 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $128.30/Metric Tonne -1.0%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 69.20 -3.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.6 +1.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24 -3 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -31 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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