Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Increasing Global Growth Fears, Yen Strength, Consumer Discretionary/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.58 +11.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.55 -.83%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.16 +5.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.13 +4.03%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 109.0 -16.15%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +13.92%
  • NYSE Arms 1.06 +71.31% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.78 +5.41%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 101.36 +1.35%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 53.65 -.65%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 114.19 +1.35%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 337.20 +7.15%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 -2.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 19.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 232.0 -9.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $122.60/Metric Tonne -1.05%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.70 -1.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.4 +2.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -398 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -51 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On loses in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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