Thursday, January 30, 2014

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Biotech/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.24 -6.40%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.19 -.39%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.11 -2.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.54 -2.70%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 131.0 +32.32%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -15.96%
  • NYSE Arms 1.40 +21.10% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.07 -1.82%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 99.94 -2.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 56.0 +4.38%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 115.20 -.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 337.49 +.17%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.50 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 2.25 +2.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.25 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 235.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $122.60/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 48.10 -2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.2 +.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +198 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +34 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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