Friday, January 17, 2014

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Worries, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.60 +.56%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.13 -.74%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.64 -.46%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.36 +.52%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 128.0 -20.50%
  • Total Put/Call .72 -7.69%
  • NYSE Arms 1.24 -20.11% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.11 +.25%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.50 +.33%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 49.68 -.63%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 292.19 +1.42%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.0 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 244.0 -2 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $127.30/Metric Tonne -.78%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 66.60 -2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 4.8 +3.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +39 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -30 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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