Tuesday, December 01, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less European/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Seasonal Optimism, Healthcare/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.05 -6.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.54 +.5%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.66 -1.30%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.55 -3.94%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 135.0 +16.38%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 -7.89%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -31.45
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.53 -3.07%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,307.0 -2.36%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.60 -.72%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.03 -4.59%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.74 -.67%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 326.08 -.87%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 124.11 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 22.0 -3.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -52.25 +3.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.38 +.31%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .20% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 124.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $42.24/Metric Tonne -1.70%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.20 -5.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 28.90 +5.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.9 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.60 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 1.60 -.18
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -47 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -89 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +2 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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