Thursday, May 25, 2017

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Transport/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.86 -1.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.79 +.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.26 +1.10%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.79 -.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 +17.9%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -10.75%
  • NYSE Arms 1.61 +34.53%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.19 -.21%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 360.0 +.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.25 -2.56%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 8.14 -.59%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.38 -.59%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 193.34 +.73%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 138.52 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.0 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -33.75-.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.04 -.04%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .92% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 96.0 -.5 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $60.24/Metric Tonne -.46%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -38.10 +.7 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 60.30 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 19.80 -2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.82 -2.0 basis points
  • 95.3% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 96.7% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +2 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating unch. open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/medical/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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