Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Volume: Around Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 9.73 -7.95%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.96 -.37%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.27 -2.59%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 40.77 -3.09%
- ISE Sentiment Index 61.0 -37.11%
- Total Put/Call .81 -18.18%
- NYSE Arms .80 +18.90%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.30 +.1%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 386.0 -.65%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.90 -2.90%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 7.83 +5.46%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.71 -1.36%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 198.08 +2.05%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.21 -.1%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 28.50-.5 basis point
- TED Spread 29.25 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.94 -.45%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .89% +1.0 basis point
- Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $60.15/Metric Tonne -2.56%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -19.70 -1.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 69.10 +.9 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 31.8 +2.1 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 -1.0 basis point
- 95.3% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 97.4% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -20 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -32 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and emerging market shorts
- Disclosed Trades: None
- Market Exposure: 100% Net Long
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