Monday, May 08, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Profit-Taking, Technical Selling, Gaming/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.73 -7.95%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.96 -.37%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.27 -2.59%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 40.77 -3.09%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 61.0 -37.11%
  • Total Put/Call .81 -18.18%
  • NYSE Arms .80 +18.90%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.30 +.1%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 386.0 -.65%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.90 -2.90%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 7.83 +5.46%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.71 -1.36%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 198.08 +2.05%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.21 -.1%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 28.50-.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 29.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.94 -.45%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .89% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $60.15/Metric Tonne -2.56%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -19.70 -1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 69.10 +.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 31.8 +2.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 -1.0 basis point
  • 95.3% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 97.4% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -20 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -32 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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