Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Financial/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.74 -1.74%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.44 -.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.28 -1.08%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.65 -1.34%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 119.0 +36.78%
  • Total Put/Call .89 +4.71%
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 -23.90%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.22 -1.2%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 355.0 -1.4%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.05 -2.07%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 8.47 -7.48%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.90 -.77%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 193.63 -1.79%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 138.47 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75-.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -33.25 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.85 -.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .90% unch.
  • Yield Curve 98.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.0/Metric Tonne -1.88%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -38.90 -8.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 60.40 +10.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.0 -1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 +2.0 basis points
  • 93.4% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 95.7% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +157 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -12 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

No comments: