Friday, May 12, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Less Economic Optimism, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Oil Service/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.67 +.66%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.28 +.14%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.99 -2.20%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.25 +1.46%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 97.0 -7.62%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -9.89%
  • NYSE Arms 1.16 +1.67%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.50 +.74%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 372.0 -.39%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.70 +2.1%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 7.88 +5.99%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.51 +.22%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 194.57 -.36%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.66 -.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 31.75 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.0 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.44 +.26%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .87% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 104.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.38/Metric Tonne +1.66%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -29.50 -10.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 69.50 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 33.1 +3.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 -5.0 basis points
  • 88.4% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 92.9% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -53 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +46 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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