Wednesday, February 07, 2018

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Defense/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 24.55 -19.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.17 -.81%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.85 +.57%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.49 -3.29%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 130.0 +5.7%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -14.14%
  • NYSE Arms 1.23 +100.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 53.72 +.39%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 353.0 -1.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 45.91 -5.59%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 120.50 -9.0 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.0 -4.95%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 119.23 -.38%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 147.50 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.5 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 26.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 75.36 -.53%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.54% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 71.75 +3.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 74.45 USD/Metric Tonne -.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.50 -.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 41.70 -.2 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -1.0 -2.1 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 +2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 2 meeting, 100.0% chance at June 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +415 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -62 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -29 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my emerging market shorts
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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