Monday, May 14, 2018

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Diminished Trade War Tensions, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Biotech/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.0 +3.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.35 +.30%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.53 -.35%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.08 -1.12%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 117.0 +1.74%
  • Total Put/Call .84 -13.4%
  • NYSE Arms .75 -32.12%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.60 +.37%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 369.0 +.03%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.20 -.25%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 131.75 +.5 basis point
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.03 -.54%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 154.83 +.33%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 149.46 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.0 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 44.25 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.23 -.25%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.89% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 44.75 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 68.44 USD/Metric Tonne +.44%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 19.0 -2.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -94.60 +3.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -1.3 -1.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.16 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at August 1 meeting, 100.0% chance at September 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +20  open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +70 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/retail/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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