Friday, March 01, 2019

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Outlooks, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.8 -6.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.22 +.47%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.31 +.48%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.19 -2.8%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 131.0 +31.0%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -4.26%
  • NYSE Arms 1.21 +6.14%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.15 -1.54%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 508.0 +.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.72 +2.48%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 255.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 69.12 -1.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 167.96 +1.65%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 158.66 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.25 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.97 -.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.43% unch.
  • Yield Curve 19.75 -.5 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 84.0 USD/Metric Tonne +3.6%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -43.40 -13.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -61.60 -2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.8 -4.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 +2.0 basis points
  • 2.1% chance of Fed rate hike at May 1st meeting, 2.0% chance at June 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +143 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +91 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +27 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/industrial/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

No comments: