Sunday, March 24, 2019

Monday Watch

Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
  • Stocks to Drop in Asia, Yields Fall on Growth Woes. Stocks in Asia looked set to track heavy losses in U.S. equities as bond yields continued to march lower amid concerns that momentum is slowing in the global economy. The risk-off tone that built on Friday looks set to extend into Asia early Monday, as futures signaled losses for equities in Japan and Hong Kong, while Australian shares opened weaker. Australia’s 10-year bond yield hit an all-time low after the yield on Germany’s 10-year bonds tumbled below zero and a closely watched gauge of Treasuries inverted for the first time since 2007, underscoring the return to globally low long-term rates. U.S. equity futures showed little reaction to Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s decision to forgo an obstruction case against President Donald Trump. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined 1.7 percent in Singapore late Friday. Hang Seng Index futures dropped 1.4 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 1 percent. The S&P 500 Index decreased 1.9 percent Friday. Futures were little changed.
Zero Hedge:   
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -1.25% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 72.0 -.25 basis point
  • China Sovereign CDS 48.5 +.75 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.28 +.09%.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures -.15%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.11%.

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (WGO)/.60
After the Close:
  • (RHT)/1.01
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for Feb. is estimated to rise to -.25 versus -.43 in Jan.
10:30 am EST
  • The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for March is estimated to fall to 9.6 versus 13.1 in February.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German IFO Business Climate Index and the (AAPL) news/video service event could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lowe, weighed dow by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

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