Thursday, August 01, 2019

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.5% to -.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 62.0 +4.0 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 45.75 +5.75 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.67 -.02%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.27%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.41%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (AXL)/.57
  • (CVX)/1.82
  • (XOM)/.73
  • (HMC)/117.85
  • (ITT)/.89
  • (LYB)/2.84
  • (NWL)/.36
  • (STX)/.84
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for July is estimated to fall to 165K versus 224K in June. 
  • The Unemployment Rate for July is estimated to fall to 3.6% versus 3.7% in June.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for July is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in June.
  • The Trade Balance for June is estimated at -$54.6B versus -$55.5B in May.
10:00 am EST
  • Factory Orders for June are estimated to rise +.7% versus a -.7% decline in May.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone PPI report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to maintain losses into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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