Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.0 -.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 40.0 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  67.33 -.01%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.18%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.37%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (AMT)/1.74
  • (APTV)/1.14
  • (ADP)/1.13
  • (BLMN)/.35
  • (BG)/.33
  • (CME)/1.76
  • (FCAU)/.60
  • (GE)/.12
  • (HES)/-.12
  • (HUM)/5.27
  • (JCI)/.62
  • (TAP)/1.65
  • (SMG)/2.74
  • (SPG)/2.99
  • (SSYS)/.15
After the Close:
  • (AMED)/.99
  • (APA)/.14
  • (AVB)/2.31
  • (CF)/.82
  • (CAKE)/.81
  • (CRUS)/.15
  • (CTSH)/.92
  • (ESV)/-1.28
  • (ETH)/.48
  • (HCP)/.43
  • (H)/.46
  • (KTOS)/.06
  • (LRCX)/3.43
  • (MCK)/3.01
  • (MET)/1.34
  • (OI)/.76
  • (PPC)/.60
  • (PRU)/3.22
  • (QCOM)/.77
  • (SKYW)/1.59
  • (TDOC)/-.41
  • (TWLO)/.02
  • (WDC)/.19
  • (WMB)/.23
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for July is estimated to rise to 150K versus 102K in June.
8:30 am EST
  • The 2Q Employment Cost Index is estimated to rise +.7% versus a +.7% gain in 1Q.
9:45 am EST
  • The MNI Chicago PMI report for July is estimated to rise to 51.0 versus 49.7 in June.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,739,250 barrels versus a -10,835,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -1,481,270 barrels versus a -226,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +769,520 barrels versus a +613,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.74% versus a -1.3% decline prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • The FOMC is expected to lower the benchmark Fed Funds rate -.25 basis points to 2.0-2.25%.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's press conference, China Manufacturing PMI report, Eurozone CPI/GDP reports, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, Democratic Presidential Debate and the (MYL) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

No comments: