Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Central Bank Hopes, Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Retail/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.24 -2.93%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.14 -.13%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.95 +.29%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 32.70 -1.95%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 -16.8%
  • Total Put/Call .67 -10.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.01 +27.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.63 -3.26%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 647.0 +.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.58 -3.79%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 187.0 -8.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 59.51 -3.1%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 156.26 -.36%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 164.98 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 3.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.25 -5.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 -2.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.51 +.07%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.08% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 23.0 -.75 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 111.37 USD/Metric Tonne +.24%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -50.3 -5.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -33.0 -24.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.2 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.79 -2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate cut at Sept. 18th meeting, 100.0% chance of cut at October 30th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +11 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +3 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +27 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

No comments: