Monday, July 22, 2019

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Tech/Energy Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.72 -5.05%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.63 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.92 -.14%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.8 -4.48%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 105.0 +8.25%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -4.0%
  • NYSE Arms .96 -23.81%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.76 -1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 642.0 +.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.50 -4.09%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 200.0 +7.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.07 -.59%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 159.48 -.26%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 164.89 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 2.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.0 -7.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.5 +2.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.75 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.07% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 23.25 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 113.53 USD/Metric Tonne -.39%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -42.10 -.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -8.20 +.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -24.3 +4.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.79 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate cut at Sept. 18th meeting, 100.0% chance of cut at October 30th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -16 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -34 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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