Friday, August 07, 2020

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on China Tensions, Commodity Weakness, Technical Selling, Tech/Biotech Sector Weakness

 

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.6 -.18%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.40 -.45%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.6 +1.94%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.4 -1.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 103 .0 -8.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .70 +18.6%
  • NYSE Arms 1.47 +17.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.39 -.25%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 814.83 -.17%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 64.98 -1.78%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 147.75 -.25 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index  67.61 -.25%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 189.44 -.26%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 177.03 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.0 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -.75 +1.25 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  80.25 -1.75 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 67.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.30 -.60%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 40.5 -2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 112.60 USD/Metric Tonne -.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 223.0 +1.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 211.90 +3.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.1 +8.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.61 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +31 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -109 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -47 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my consumer staple/industrial/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my emerging market shorts
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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