Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Central Bank Stimulus Hopes, Technical Buying, Tech/Metals & Mining Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.0 unch. 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 567.15 -54.4 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.87 -.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.09 +.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.37 -2.5%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 130.0 +33.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .61 -1.6%
  • NYSE Arms .93 -11.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.20 +.16%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 764.98 -.26%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 61.33 -2.6%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 145.0 +1.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index  62.0 -.05%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 180.03 +1.37%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 177.50 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 13.75 -2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.0 -.5 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  90.25 +.75 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.09 -.15%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 55.0 +4.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 119.45 USD/Metric Tonne -.54%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 238.10 +2.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 143.70 -2.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 24.9 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.73 +3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -10 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -39 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -39 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/industrial/consumer staple sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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