Monday, August 31, 2020

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:    
Wall Street Journal:
Fox News:
CNBC.com:
MarketWatch.com:            
Zero Hedge: 
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.0%  to -.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 61.0 -1.0 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 33.75 -1.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.68 +.03%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 412.0 +21.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 33.20 -.08%
  • FTSE 100 futures -.53%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.03%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.18%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (HOME)/1.31
  • (HRB)/.33
  • (SCVL)/.62
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
  • ISM Manufacturing for August is estimated to rise to 54.6 versus 54.2 in July.
  • ISM Prices Paid for August is estimated to rise to 54.3 versus 53.2 in July.
  • Construction Spending MoM for July is estimated to rise 1.0% versus a -.7% decline in July.
Afternoon:
  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for August is estimated to fall to 14.9M versus 14.5M in July.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Brainard speaking, Treasury's Mnuchin testifying on COVID-19 response, Eurozone PMI report, German Unemployment report,  weekly US retail sales reports, Jefferies Semi/IT Hardware/Communications Summit and the (NVDA) special event could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by financial and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

 

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