Tuesday, August 04, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.5%  to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 70.0 -2.0 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 42.75 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.92 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.02%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.10%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.14%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ABC)/1.58
  • (BWA)/-.46
  • (CVS)/1.91
  • (DISCA)/.72
  • (ENR)/.59
  • (HMC)/-62.20
  • (HUM)/6.05
  • (MRNA)/-.36
  • (ODP)/.08
  • (BTU)/-1.28
  • (REGN)/5.96
  • (SSYS)/-.20
  • (TEVA)/.53
  • (W)/1.09
  • (WEN)/.11
  • (WWW)/-.12
After the Close:
  • (DDD)/-.10
  • (ADT)/.29
  • (ALB)/.72
  • (DOX)/1.05
  • (UHAL)/1.78
  • (CVNA)/-.79
  • (CF)/.60
  • (DLPH)/-.89
  • (ETSY)/.48
  • (FSLY)/-.01
  • (HI)/.30
  • (JACK)/1.03
  • (MRO)/-.64
  • (MET)/.91
  • (PAAS)/.02
  • (PTON)/.10
  • (PSA)/2.53
  • (RCII)/.60
  • (RMD)/1.08
  • (RGLD)/.52
  • (SQ)/-.05
  • (SPWR)/-.39
  • (SYNA)/1.07
  • (WDC)/1.22
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for July is estimated to fall to 1200K versus 2369K in June.
8:30 am EST
  • The Trade Balance for June is estimated at -$50.2B in May versus -$54.6B in May.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Services Index for July is estimated to fall to 55.0 versus 57.1 in June.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,309,300 barrels versus a -10,611,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -534,000 barrels versus a +654,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate supplies are estimated to rise by +464,900 barrels versus a +503,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.12% versus a +1.6% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone Services PMI report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, Jefferies Industrials Conference, Barclays Building/Building Products Conference and the (COST) July Sales results could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly lower, weighed down by industrial and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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