Friday, August 21, 2020

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Global Stimulus Hopes, Vaccine Optimism, Technical Buying, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.60 -.53%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.27 -.60%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.28 -.18%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42. -4.42%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 111.0 +22.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .69 -6.8%
  • NYSE Arms .84 -33.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.80 +.49%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 782.30 +.40%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.66 -3.3%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 142.0 +1.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index  64.68 -.68%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 183.03 -1.4%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 177.20 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.0 -1.75 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  88.75 +.25 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.02 -.44%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .9% unch.
  • Yield Curve 49.25 -1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 121.92 USD/Metric Tonne -2.3%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 254.6 +5.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 132.50 -49.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.1 +2.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.64 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -90 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -48 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my emerging market shorts 
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: