Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
- Volume: Around Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 34.6 +2.8%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index -230.0 -108.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.37 -.02%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.27 +.45%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.7 +8.1%
- ISE Sentiment Index 107.0 +19.0 points
- Total Put/Call 1.05 +9.4%
- NYSE Arms .70 -10.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 657.55 +3.32%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 761.92 +.31%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 60.11 +.84%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 146.5 +2.25 basis points
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.24 +2.09%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 169.67 +1.90%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 177.75 +.07%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 8.75 -1.0 basis point
- TED Spread 14.5 -.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.5 -.25 basis point
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 84.5 -4.5 basis points
- IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.62 -.17%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% unch.
- Yield Curve 50.75 -1.75 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 123.84 USD/Metric Tonne +.71%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 191.80 -1.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 96.60 -3.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.3 +2.9 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.68 +2.0 basis points
- 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -80 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -60 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +37 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my industrial sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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