Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Stocks Mostly Higher into Final Hour on Dovish FOMC Commentary, Vaccine Hopes, Oil Gain, Energy/Financial Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.3 -1.3%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 376.0 -10.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.57 -.66%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.21 -.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.4 -1.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 141.0 +15.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .74 +5.7%
  • NYSE Arms .52 -66.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.98 -1.21%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 812.62 -.85%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 61.26 -1.78%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 151.25 n/a
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index  56.71 -1.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 163.82 -.3%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 178.03 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 13.5 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 +1.0 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  93.5 +.25 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 66.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.88 +.22%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 53.5 +.25 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 118.0 USD/Metric Tonne -3.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 177.1 -.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 79.6 -3.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 48.4 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70 +2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -105 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -36 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/industrial/consumer staple sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

 

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