Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 77.25 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 48.25 -3.0 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.37 +.05%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 146.0 -18.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 32.45 -1.29%
  • FTSE 100 futures +.29%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.41%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.41%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (BBBY)/-.29
  • (CAG)/.57
  • (STZ)/2.51
  • (PEP)/1.49
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY for Sept.
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 850K versus 870K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 12200K versus 12580K the prior week.
  • Personal Income for Aug. is estimated to fall -2.5% versus a +.4% gain in July.
  • Personal Spending for Aug. is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +1.9% gain in July.
  • The PCE Core MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in July.
10:00 am EST
  • Construction Spending MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.7% versus a +.1% gain in July.
  • ISM Manufacturing for Sept. is estimated to rise to 56.4 versus a reading of 56.0 in Aug.
  • ISM Prices Paid for Sept. is estimated to fall to 58.8 versus 59.5 in Aug. 
Afternoon:
  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for Sept. are estimated to rise to 15.7M versus 15.19M in Aug.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Bowman speaking, Eurozone PMI report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index and the (TWLO) investor day could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finished modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

 

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