Monday, April 26, 2021

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Commodity/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.8 +2.9%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,087.0 -52.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.1 +.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.8 -1.0%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.9 -.9%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 130.0 +17.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .61 -21.8%
  • NYSE Arms .72 -6.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.12 -.28%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 450.42 -.46%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.72 +.6%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 83.38 +2.74%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 167.43 +1.26%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.31 +.1%.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.25 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 unch.
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  66.75 +2.0 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.89 +.16%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 141.0 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 187.0 USD/Metric Tonne +3.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.40 -5.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 132.1 -12.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 35.6 -4.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.36 +2.0 basis points
  • 89.4% chance of no change at June 16th meeting, 89.4% chance of no change at Sept. 22nd meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +153 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -56 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/energy/biotech/medical/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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