Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Dovish FOMC Commentary, Stable Long-Term Rates, Oil Gain, Commodity/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.6 +.2%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,230.0 +138.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.11 +.1%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.7 -.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.7 +5.4%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 +29.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .77 +11.6%
  • NYSE Arms .70 -20.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.11 -.88%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 441.72 -.83%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.31 -.28%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 111.0 +4.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 81.70 -1.27%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 167.56 -.68%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.15 -.12%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 +1.75 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  64.25 -.25 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.08 +.30%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 145.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 187.70 USD/Metric Tonne -.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 43.30 -.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 121.9 -8.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 43.3 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.42 +3.0 basis points
  • 90.5% chance of no change at Sept. 22nd meeting, 86.2% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -38 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +10 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/energy sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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