Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
- Volume: Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 15.6 -4.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,598.0 +166.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.29 +.25%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.87 +.45%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.5 -4.8%
- ISE Sentiment Index 130.0 +12.0 points
- Total Put/Call .74 -7.5%
- NYSE Arms .76 -30.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.44 -1.3%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 351.09 -1.3%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.58 -1.8%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 105.0 unch.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.15 -1.2%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 177.74 -2.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 34.92 -.4%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 16.25 +.5 basis point
- TED Spread 8.25 +.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 +1.0 basis point
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 67.25 -.75 basis point
- IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 58.68 +.19%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
- Yield Curve 117.0 -2.0 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 123.4 USD/Metric Tonne +.8%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -38.5 -6.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -73.8 -.3 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.4 unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.55 +1.0 basis point
- 99.5% chance of no change at Dec. 15th meeting, 94.5% chance of no change at Jan. 26th meeting
US Covid-19:
- 177 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total) -0/100K people
- 33% of Jan. 7th, 2021 peak(highest daily avg. new infections) unch.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +165 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating +27 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating -33 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my tech/commodity/industrial/medical sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: None
- Market Exposure: 100% Net Long
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