Tuesday, November 23, 2021

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to unch. on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 86.0 +1.5 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 49.5 +1.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 54.58 unch. 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,148.0 +42.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 20.7 +.67%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.29%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.07%
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.08%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (DE)/3.87
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 260K versus 268K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 2030K versus 2080K the prior week.
  • Advance Goods Trade Balance for Oct. is estimated at -$95.0B versus -$96.3B in Sept.
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +1.0% versus a +1.4% gain in Sept.
  • Retail Inventories MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a -.2% loss in Sept. 
  • Durable Goods Orders for Oct. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.3% decline in Sept.
  • Durables Ex Transports for Oct. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.3% decline in Sept.
  • Cap Goods Orders Non-Defense Ex-Air for Oct. is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.8% gain in Sept.
10:00 am EST
  • Personal Income for Oct. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -1.0% decline in Sept.
  • Personal Spending for Oct. is estimated to rise +1.0% versus a +.6% gain in Sept. 
  • The PCE Core MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.2% gain in Sept.
  • New Home Sales for Oct. is estimated at 800K versus 800K in Sept.
2:00 pm EST
  • The FOMC Meeting Minutes for Nov. 3rd.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone GDP report, weekly Langer Consumer Comfort Index and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by technology and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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