Wednesday, October 07, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Homebuilding/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.19 -1.08%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.92 -.43%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.34 -.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.90 +.44%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 +22.54%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +17.20%
  • NYSE Arms 1.05 +27.08% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 83.63 -4.44%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,029.0 -1.48%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 82.21 -3.74%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.90 +1.55%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.34 -3.19%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 344.40 -1.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.34 +.38%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.50 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.99 +.59%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 144.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.14/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -28.90 +.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.40 -5.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.60 -1.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.55 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.06 -.91
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +43 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +34 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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