Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Technical Buying, Earnings Optimism, Yen Weakness, Energy/Road & Rail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.5 +2.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.63 +.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.67 +2.9%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.0 -.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 +8.5%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -6.8%
  • NYSE Arms .91 -.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.56 +.79%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 414.0 -.09%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.43 +.87%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 114.25 +.75 basis point
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.69 +5.3%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 143.66 +1.14%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 149.24 -.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 51.0 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.38 -.6%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.85% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 54.0 +1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 66.72 USD/Metric Tonne -.40%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 41.70 -.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -84.60 +1.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 8.7 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 +1.0 basis point
  • 92.0% chance of Fed rate hike at June 13 meeting, 92.5% chance at August 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +60  open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating unch. open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +18 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/retail sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: