Thursday, December 13, 2018

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.25% to -.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 92.5 unch. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 9.5 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.90 -.12%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.75%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.59%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.78%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for November are estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.8% gain in October.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for November are estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.7% gain in October. 
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for November are estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.3% gain in October.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for November is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.1% gain in October.
  • Manufacturing Production for November is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in October.
  • Capacity Utilization is estimated to rise to 78.6% versus 78.4% in October.
9:45 am EST
  • Preliminary Markit US Manufacturing PMI for Dec. is estimated to fall to 55.0 versus 55.3 in November.
  • Preliminary Markit US Services PMI for Dec. is estimated to fall to 54.6 versus 54.7 in September.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for October are estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.3% gain in September.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Retail Sales report, Bloomberg Dec. US Economic Survey, (STWD) investor day, (CNC) investor day and the (MET) investor outlook could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are lower, weighed down by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to maintain losses into the afternoon.  The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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