Monday, January 28, 2019

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Earnings Jitters, Oil Decline, Technical Selling, Energy/Biotech Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.1 +9.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.89 +.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.11 +1.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.37 +2.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 80.0 -45.2%
  • Total Put/Call 1.03 +41.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.19 +24.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 73.11 +.82%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 701.0 -3.63%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 91.62 +2.75%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 246.0 +.5 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.25 +.12%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 180.06 +1.97%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 155.34 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.50 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 37.5 -3.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.0 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 68.02 -.21%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.38% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 15.25 -.25 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 78.15 USD/Metric Tonne +.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 1.0 -1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -81.8 +6.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.7 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.77 -2.0 basis points
  • 1.0% chance of Fed rate hike at March 20th meeting, 5.0% chance at May 1st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -39 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -12 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +33 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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