Tuesday, January 14, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 53.0 -1.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 31.25  +1.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.51 -.05%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.03%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.15%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.19%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (BAC)/.69
  • (BLK)/7.42
  • (GS)/5.48
  • (PNC)/2.91
  • (USB)/1.09
  • (UNH)/3.75
After the Close:
  • (AA)/-.23
  • (KMI)/.26
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • PPI Final Demand MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.2% versus unch. in Nov.
  • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.2% decline in Nov.
  • Empire Manufacturing for Jan. is estimated to rise to 3.6 versus .3 in Dec.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +384,730 barrels versus a +1,164,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +3,389,100 barrels versus a +9,137,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate supplies are estimated to rise by +2,023,900 barrels versus a +5,330,000 barrel gain the prior week.Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.26% versus a -1.5% decline prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • US Fed Beige Book report.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Harker speaking, Fed's Kaplan speaking, China Phase 1 Trade Deal Signing, UK CPI report, Japan Machine Orders report, (TGT) holiday sales update, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the (CRM) Jefferies investor meeting could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly lower, weighed down by technology and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to maintain losses into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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