Wednesday, September 02, 2020

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Falling Biden Presidency Odds, Lower Long-Term Rates, Technical Buying, Utility/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 26.5 +1.3%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 385.0 -75.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.25 -.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.3 +.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.8 -2.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 116.0 -4.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .73 +15.8%
  • NYSE Arms 1.20 +4.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.57 +.09%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 757.75 -.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.52 -3.1%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 145.25 -3.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index  57.58 -4.55%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 158.60 -2.1%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 177.51 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 14.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.5 -1.75 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  87.5 -1.75 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.67 -.45%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 55.25 -2.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 122.80 USD/Metric Tonne +.73%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 193.40 -13.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 107.40 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.2 -2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.73 -5.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +143 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -82 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +47 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/medical/consumer staple sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

 

No comments: