Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 126.0 -3.0 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS  79.0 -2.75 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 51.8 -.15%  
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 4,451.0 +50.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 27.5 -.14%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.59%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.02%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (ADI)/2.12
  • (LOW)/3.22
  • (TGT)/3.07
  • (TJX)/.60
After the Close:
  • (CSCO)/.86
  • (CPRT)/1.14
  • (SNPS)/2.37
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Housing Starts for April is estimated to fall to 1757K versus 1793K in March.
  • Building Permits for April is estimated to fall to 1817K versus 1873K in March.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of 1,471,430 barrels versus a +8,487,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -500,000 barrels versus a -3,607,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -242, 860 barrels versus a -913,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.5% versus a +1.6% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The UK CPI report, 20Y T-Bond auction, week MBA Mortgage Applications report, BMO Farm to Market Conference, Wells Fargo Financial Services Conference, (AKAM) analyst day, (TMO) investor day and the (SQ) investor day could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly higher, boosted by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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