Saturday, August 08, 2026

Today's Headlines

Around X:

  • @Zerohedge 
  • @BarronsOnline
  • Had bullish commentary on (RELY) and (COO).
  • @IGSquawk 
  • @Overton_News
  • Senator Ron Johnson reveals the single most disturbing thing he discovered in Anthony Fauci’s diaries. Johnson says this was the justification that he used to “devastate people’s lives.” JOHNSON: “One thing that I think is really being overlooked in terms of what was revealed in those diaries…” “Was early on in the pandemic, to his diary, he thought that COVID-19 would be double the flu, but he went out in public saying it was TEN times.” “He went out to the public and said it was going to be ten times worse…and that’s what he used to shut down the economy.” “To devastate people’s lives. Devastate the economy.” (video)
  • @MarioNawfal
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • @EricLDaugh
  • @RenzTom
  • @Hedgeye
  • @EmeraldRobinson
  • @Bannons_WarRoom
  • @DC_Draino
  • @justin_hart
  • FDA's own file on Moderna's new mRNA flu shot, in one chart. - 3 in 4 adults 65+ had a reaction. - Day-stopping reactions, 4x the comparator. - Deaths of unspecified cause: 23 vs 9 — with zero autopsies performed. - Benefit: 137 people switched to prevent one case of flu-like illness. All FDA's numbers. Including their caveats. (pic)
  • @ScottPresler
  • @TonySeruga
  • Scott Presler Just Exposed What They Swore Never Happens — And Now the DOJ Is Threatening Jail Time. BOMBSHELL FROM PHILLY. Scott Presler and his team at Early Vote Action just did what no state official bothered to do: they hand-transcribed thousands of non-juror names in Philadelphia — people who told the court under penalty of law they aren’t U.S. citizens — and cross-referenced them against active voter rolls. The result? 1 in 4 showed up as registered voters. Not a rounding error. Not a clerical hiccup. Twenty-five percent. Pennsylvania is a state decided by less than 5-point margins. Let that sink in.
  • @BennyJohnson
  • @Barchart
  • @nogps1
  • @DawnsMission
  • @JoeKent16Jan19
  • @Bannons_WarRoom
  • @KobeissiLetter
  • @GrahamStephan
  • @Geiger_Capital
  • @DrSimoneGold
  • @jsolomonReports
  • @DawnMission
  • @Kalshi
  • @NYPost
  • @BowesChay
OpenVAERS:  
SKirsch.com:

Friday, August 07, 2026

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 7,748.9 +3.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 54,069.6 +2.9%
  • NASDAQ 26,665.7 +5.1%
  • Russell 2000 3,034.6 +3.3%
  • NYSE FANG+ 18,687.3 +8.0%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 327.7 +9.1%
  • Vaneck Social Sentiment 35.6 +6.7%
  • Wilshire 5000 76,831.4 +3.7%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 5,008.8 +4.9%
  • Russell 1000 Value 2,529.2 +2.2%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 940.8 -.1%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 271.4 +3.0%
  • NYSE Technology 9,516.6 +7.0%
  • Transports 21,537.9 +2.4%
  • Utilities 1,101.4 -1.8%
  • MSCI Europe Banks 139.1 +1.6%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 65.45 +2.1%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 268.97 +1.1%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 135.78 -.01%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 623,527 +.5%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 13.5 -23.3%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 413 +312
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -15.4 -42.6%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 120,108 +47.0%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,859795 -.3%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -12.8%
  • OEX Put/Call .38 +4.8%
  • ISE Sentiment 179.0 +3.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.04 -1.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 126.0 -.4%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.31 +26.0 basis point
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.41 +11.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.9 -6.6%
  • S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .57 -2.1%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 10.2 +4.8%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.43 +.5%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.95 -.1%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 18,320.5 +3.8%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  79.7 unch.
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.909 Trillion +.7%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$18.297 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 37.0 +19.4%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 377.0 -1.9%
  • Crude Oil 78.12/bbl. -10.0%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 298.40 -6.2%
  • Natural Gas 2.66 -4.3%
  • US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 76.6 USD/Megawatt -7.1% 
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 55.7 euros/megawatt-hour -6.9%
  • Heating Oil 391.0 -5.4% 
  • Newcastle Coal 129.8 (1,000/metric ton) -2.8%
  • Gold 4,336.9 +7.3%
  • Silver 63.3 +9.9%
  • Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 179.4 +1.5%
  • Copper 659.3 +1.3%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 380.0 USD/Metric Tonne -3.9%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 94.80 USD/Metric Tonne +1.2%
  • China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 21,025.0 USD/metric tonne -3.2%
  • Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index 1.20(price per million tokens) -11.6% 
  • inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR5 16Gb 1Gx16 49.66 +1.9%  
  • CME Lumber 574.0 -6.4%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,486.8 +2.9%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 340.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
  • US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 397.50 USD/Short Ton -6.8%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Forecast +5.8% +80.0 basis points
  • US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 14.6 +1.8 percentage points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.68 +10.7%
  • Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 225.2 +55.7% 
  • Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 74.0 +18.0
  • Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 90.0% unch.
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 173.9 -22.6%
  • Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .8 -.4
  • DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(442 of 500 reporting) +51.4% -5.6 percentage points
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 387.59 +8.32:  Growth Rate +31.8% +1.7 percentage points, P/E 19.9 +.5
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 16.23% +22.0 basis points
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +138.4% +.1 percentage point
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 942.53 +17.90: Growth Rate +81.8% +3.5 percentage points, P/E 19.5 +1.1
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 29.50 -8.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 67.9 +1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.6 -2.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 56.1%(+23.1 percentage points) chance of no change, 43.9%(-23.1 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 9/16
  • US Dollar Index 99.6 -.3%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,897.3 +.3%
  • Bitcoin/USD 64,782.6 +2.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 208.4 -.4%
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.35 unch.
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) 45.5 +.75 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.66% -8.0 basis points
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.93% -7.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.701 Trillion +.2%
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.253 Billion +10.6%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.5 -5.8%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 182.6 -1.7%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 77.0 -4.0 basis point
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 17.6 -3.0%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.3 -2.1%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 123.0 -1.4%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 55.1 -11.3%
  • Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.5 -6.7%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.8 -.3%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.2 +.4%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 122.1 +1.8%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.3% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.1% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.0% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.0% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.31% unch.: CPI YoY +3.42% unch.
  • 1-Year TIPS Spread 1.71 -21.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25 -3.0 basis points
  • Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 14.75 +.75 basis point
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -14.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .50 -.75 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.75 -3.8% 
  • BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 74.7 +9.3%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 151.0 unch.
  • High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 418.5 -7.6% 
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 224.0 +16.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.6 -3.6%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 140.8 -3.2%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 114.0 -1.0 basis point
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 559.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .44 +1.0 basis point
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +5.5% -10.0 basis points
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,427.1B +2.2%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 198,750 -2.2%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.6 -1.6%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.78% +6.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 240,000 -2.9%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +8.2% +10.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +13.0% unch.
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $306.1M n/a
  • Nationwide Gas $4.04/gallon -.07/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 3,057.0 +11.9%
  • Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,297.5/40 ft Box +1.0%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,839.0 -.9%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 202.50 -1.2%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 97.3 -4.5%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 293,029 +.06%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,794,275 +7.5% 
  • US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 90.9 +.3 point
  • Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 44.0% unch.
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +5.1%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +1.9%
Leading Sectors
  • Gold & Silver +19.0%
  • Space +16.8%
  • Robotics +10.2%
  • Semis +8.7%
  • Software +8.2%
Lagging Sectors
  • REITs -.5%
  • I-Banks -.7%
  • Utilities -1.6%
  • Gambling -2.7%
  • Energy -4.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (73)
  • DOCS, MTW, QNST, TEAM, PUBM, CRSR, TWLO, FIGS, SPT, NTRA, PSIX, OMDA, FIVN, FLR, HALO, ROAD, AXTI, TNDM, GRDN, ABNB, SVV, TILE, OKLO, WLDN, CON, CVSA, ONTO, IAG, COHR, DV, ZLAB, FOXF, AAOI, SPCX, MP, ICUI, CART, MITK, CDE, PLTR, CAI, GFI, ERO, EQX, MATV, MSIF, AAUC, TENX, PLSE, WPP, NET, AEM, UBER, DKNG, AMPH, IBTA, AGI, WAY, SSMR, ONC, EFC, GMAB, MAIN, ZD, FSLR, MMS, DEO, KRP, ETSY, OBDC and BMRN 
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (23)
  • ACIW, CLMT, LOMA, EZPW, WDC, AKAM, PGNY, ELAN, HUT, ANIP, LB, ESE, AMRZ, NEWT, TDS, POST, MATW, ASIX, IIIV, TTD, LASR, ODEL and SEZL
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change



Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Declining Fed Rate-Hike Odds, Earnings Outlook Optimism, Short-Covering, Tech/Alt Energy Sector Strength

Overseas Futures:

  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +400 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -7 open in China
  • KOSPI 200 Futures: Indicating +5 open in South Korea 
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +60 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/industrial/consumer discretionary/transport sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% net long

Monday's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (AXSM)/-.89
  • (B)/.83
  • (CAMT)/.76
  • (DOLE)/.46
  • (EMBJ)/.62 
After the Close: 
  • (AAON)/.51
  • (ACM)/1.46
  • (ACHR)/-.34
  • (HIMS)/-.05
  • (PLUG)/-.08
  • (RKLB)/-.06
  • (SPG)/3.22
  • (UPWK)/.34
  • (USAR)/-.11 
Economic Releases 
  • None of note

Upcoming Splits

  • (MNST) 2-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The CB Employment Trends Index for July, KeyBanc Tech Forum, Citi Power/Energy Conference, TD Cowen Communications Infrastructure Summit and the Canaccord Growth Conference could also impact global trading on Monday.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST