Monday, August 03, 2026

Tuesday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business
  • @ZeroHedge
  • @TheTranscript
  • @WallStEngine
  • CITADEL SECURITIES: BULL MARKET DRIVERS REMAIN “FIRMLY INTACT”. Scott Rubner says July’s tech selloff and retreat by retail investors helped unwind the market’s speculative excesses. Retail posted its largest week of stock selling since 2022, while assets in leveraged ETFs fell 28% to $154 billion and equity funding costs dropped below their one-year average. He now sees the market shifting away from flows and positioning toward earnings, corporate demand and the macro backdrop.
  • PALANTIR $PLTR Q2'26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS. Revenue: $1.94B (Est. $1.8B) ; +93% YoY. Adj. EPS: $0.41 (Est. $0.35). US Commercial Revenue: $764M; +149% YoY. Adj. Op Inc: $1.19B (Est. $1.06B). Q3 2026 Guide: Revenue: $2.160B-$2.164B (Est. $2B). Adj. Op Inc: $1.29B-$1.30B (Est. $1.14B). Raises FY26 Guide: Revenue: $8.15B-$8.16B (Est. $7.69B. US Comm Revenue: >$3.4B; 134%+ YoY. Adj. Op Inc: $4.89B-$4.90B (Est. $4.46B). Adj. FCF: $4.5B-$4.7B (Est. $4.27B)
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to +.5% on average. 
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 68.75 -1.0 basis point. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 37.5 -.5 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.60 USD/Metric Tonne -.2%. 
  • Crude Oil 81.0/bbl. +.8% 
  • Gold 4,108.0 USD/t oz. +.4%. 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.34 +.07%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 34.49 unch.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 126.0 +.1%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.68% +1.0 basis point.
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.97% -3.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 19.1 -.5%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.29%. 
  • S&P 500 futures +.12%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.12%.
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and defense shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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