Friday, October 02, 2015

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Oil Reversal, Biotech/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.96 -2.62%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.54 +.24%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.95 -.75%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.13 -.10%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 -15.63%
  • Total Put/Call 1.18 +24.21%
  • NYSE Arms .70 -.21% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 94.25 -.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,125.0 +4.09%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 94.47 -2.54%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.20 +.14%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.26 +.37%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 371.97 -1.80%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.69 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 33.0 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.50 +3.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.94 +.50%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 142.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.14/Metric Tonne -5.17%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -29.7 -7.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 31.3 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.30 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.49 +3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.24 -.31
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +67 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +67 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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