Friday, January 20, 2023

Weekly Scoreboard*

 

S&P 500 3,953.6 -1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 33,231.3 -2.9%
  • NASDAQ 11,078.73 +.56%
  • Russell 2000 1,856.74 -1.3%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 68.74 +.28%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 148.28 +.6%
  • Wilshire 5000 39,828.90 -.83%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,249.04 +.03%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,532.81 -1.9%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 755.56 -2.9%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,039.30 -.6%
  • NYSE Technology 2,825.56 +.9%
  • Transports 14,279.4 -1.0%
  • Utilities 953.12 -4.0%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 83.07 unch.
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.6 +1.6%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,465.46 -.03%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 923.37 -.02%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 456,857 -.11%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 11 -249
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -27.9 +13.0%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 205,236 -9.8%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,557,092 +6.7%
  • Total Put/Call .91 -5.3%
  • OEX Put/Call .74 -26.4%
  • ISE Sentiment 91.0 -18.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .69 -38.5
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 55.8 -2.6%
  • Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 2.32 unch.
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.8 +4.1%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing .94% -9.6%
  • CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 38.3 +5.8%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.2 -7.6%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.7 +.6%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,899.8 -4.9%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  65.1 +19.8
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.803 Trillion -.04%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$n/a Million
  • AAII % Bulls 31.0 +29.2%
  • AAII % Bears 33.1 -17.0%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 276.62 +1.0%
  • Crude Oil 81.26 +3.9%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 264.90 +8.3%
  • Natural Gas 3.18 -12.1%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 66.9 euros/megawatt-hour +6.1%
  • Heating Oil 345.50 +7.9% 
  • Newcastle Coal 310.0 (1,000/metric ton) -7.5%
  • Gold 1,930.8 +.43%
  • Silver 23.98 -1.5%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 488.3 +2.5%
  • Copper 426.3 +2.0%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 412.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.4%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 125.90 USD/Metric Tonne +5.1%
  • Lumber  429.5 +1.9%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,516.55 -.05%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 407.5 USD/Short Ton -3.0%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +3.53% -54.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -6.6% +.9 percentage point
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 65.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.22 +38.6%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 115.94 -34.5%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 228.47 -.61:  Growth Rate +10.9% unch., P/E 17.2 -.1
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -17.7 -11.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 87.7 +7.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 6.9 +23.4 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change, 97.2%(+3.5 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike and 2.8%(-3.5 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike on 2/1 to 4.75-5.0%
  • US Dollar Index 102.06 -.20%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,694.86 -.43%
  • Bitcoin/USD 21,395.0 +2.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.77 +1.6%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -70.5 +1.5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.48% -1.0 basis point
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.452 Trillion -.24%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.07 +6.1%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 161.39 +1.5%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 182.0 -3.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.63 -11.1%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 51.68 -4.1%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 247.67 +2.7%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.2 +2.5%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.2 -6.0%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 28.0 +.2%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.8% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +7.7% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +10.4% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.45% unch.: CPI YoY +6.34% +3.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24% +3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.25 -2.75 basis points 
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.5 +2.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 74.88 +6.3%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 253.0 +2.2
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 337.0 +2.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 91.02 +3.3%
  • Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 378.31 -.51%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 230.1 +1.3%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 141.0 +10.0 basis points
  • Aggregate US CMBS Average OAS 1.10 -4.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .75 -3.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 0.0 unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,300.6 -.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 206,000 -3.1%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 46.9 +43.1%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.37% +6.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 238,700 +27.9%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +5.20% -10.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 -3.9% +.2 percentage point
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $141.0M -20.1%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.39/gallon +.10/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 801.0 -15.3%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,201.5 n/a
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 -6.7%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 50.4 -21.5%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 203,527 n/a
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 1,993,765 +11.0%
  • US Covid-19:  105 infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 6.0%(-1.2 percentage points) of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) -21/100K people from prior report
  • US Covid-19:  New patient hospital admissions per 100K -77.5%(-4.5 percentage points) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth -.2%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value -2.0%
Leading Sectors
  • Energy +2.2%
  • Shipping +1.9%
  • Video Gaming +1.9%
  • Gambling +1.4%
  • Internet +1.0%
Lagging Sectors
  • Defense -2.7%
  • Homebuilding -2.7%
  • Foods -3.1%
  • Industrials -4.2%
  • Utilities -4.4%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (10)
  • VTLE, FWONK, PD, BOWL, GOOG, PARR, DO, EOLS and NINE
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (3)
  • EXTR, LCII and EH
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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