Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 4,085.1 +3.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 34,122.7 +2.2%

• NASDAQ 11,687.44 +4.8%

• Russell 2000 1,916.26 +2.7%

• S&P 500 High Beta 72.7 +5.6%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 158.58 +6.5%

• Wilshire 5000 41,266.2 +2.97%

• Russell 1000 Growth 2,347.92 +4.0%

• Russell 1000 Value 1,572.27 +2.23%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 764.37 +.71%

• MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,063.53 +2.46%
  

• NYSE Technology 3,024.45 +6.7%

• Transports 14,537.4 +1.3%

• Utilities 970.3 +.98%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 85.67 +3.1%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 42.3 +1.6%

• HFRX Equity Hedge 1,469.54 +.10%

• HFRX Equity Market Neutral 922.8 +.11%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 459,051 +1.7%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 255 +244
  

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -29.9 -7.2%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 239,218 +16.6%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,613,646 +3.6%

• Total Put/Call .81 -8.0%

• OEX Put/Call 1.08 +35.7%

• ISE Sentiment 99.0 +8.0 points
  

• NYSE Arms .91 +62.5% 
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 59.3 +6.3%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 37.0 +15.0 basis points
  

• Volatility(VIX) 18.4 -8.4%
• DJIA Intraday % Swing .98% +4.3%

• CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 33.8 -13.3%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.1 -.59%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.3 -3.1%

• Smart Money Flow Index 13,081.2 -10.9%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  75.2 +10.1
  

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.819 Trillion +.33%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$1.329 Million

• AAII % Bulls 28.4 -8.4%

• AAII % Bears 36.7 +10.9%

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 279.55 +.39%

• Crude Oil 79.5 -2.1%

• Reformulated Gasoline 257.96 -1.8%

• Natural Gas 3.11 -.13%
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 55.4 euros/megawatt-hour -18.1%
  

• Heating Oil 326.51 -5.8% 
• Newcastle Coal 265.0 (1,000/metric ton) -14.5%
  

• Gold 1,930.15 +.28%
• Silver 23.59 -1.4%
  

• S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 492.76 +.98%

• Copper 422.75 -1.25%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 414.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.1%

• China Iron Ore Spot 126.30 USD/Metric Tonne +.16%

• Lumber  499.0 +18.6%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,545.27 +1.9%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 400.0 USD/Short Ton -1.8%
  

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +.67% -286.0 basis points
  

• ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -5.1% +1.5 percentage points
  
• Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 65.0% unch.
  

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index .71 -32.4%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 57.7 -37.4%

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 227.47 -1.00:  Growth Rate +10.4% -.5 percentage point, P/E 17.9 +.7

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -3.1 +14.6 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 83.2 -4.5 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 3.5 -3.4 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change, 98.1%(-1.2 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike and 1.9%(+1.9 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike on 2/1 to 4.75-5.0%
  

• US Dollar Index 101.92 -.08%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,701.20 +.23%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 23,218.5 +2.7%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.57 +.45%
  

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) -69.25 +1.25 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.52% +4.0 basis points
  

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.434 Trillion -.22%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.54 +4.5%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 165.25 +2.3%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 186.0 +4.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.37 -5.8%
  

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 49.68 -3.6%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 232.54 -5.7%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.34 -1.9%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.2 -.18%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 27.9 -.5%

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.8% unch.
  
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +7.7% unch.
  
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +10.4% unch.
  
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.30% -15.0 basis points: CPI YoY +6.39% +5.0 basis points
  
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.33% +9.0 basis points

• TED Spread 14.25 -7.0 basis points 
• 2-Year Swap Spread 28.0 +2.75 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.5 unch.

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 71.19 -4.4%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 246.0 -2.7% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 305.0 -32.0
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 86.85 -4.6%
• Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 345.30 -8.7%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 223.0 -2.98%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 131.0 -10.0 basis points
  
• Aggregate US CMBS Average OAS 1.07 -3.0 basis points
  
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .70 -5.0 basis points

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -1.3% -130.0 basis points
  

• Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,311.3 +.8%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 197,500 -4.5%
  

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% +10.0 basis points
  
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.5 +5.6%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.45% +8.0 basis points
  

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 255,300 +6.95%

• Weekly Retail Sales +5.0% -20.0 basis points
  
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 +.3% +4.2 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $147.5M +4.7%
  

• Nationwide Gas $3.51/gallon +.12/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 677.0 -11.3%

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,160.59 -3.4%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 unch.
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 42.1 -16.4%

• Rail Freight Carloads 203,527 -2.0%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,089,208 +26.1%
• US Covid-19:  91 infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 5.2%(-.8 percentage point) of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) -14/100K people from prior report
  
• US Covid-19:  New patient hospital admissions per 100K -80.4%(-2.9 percentage points) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
  

Best Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth +3.7%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Value +2.0%

Leading Sectors

• Computer Hardware +7.3%

• Disk Drives +6.9%
• Gambling +6.3%
  

• Video Gaming +6.1%

• Semis +6.1%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Gold & Silver -.2%
  

• Computer Services -1.1%
  

• Shipping -1.4%

• Pharma -1.8%
  

• Road & Rail -2.1%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (18)

• LCID, BYND, TBBK, AI, VTYX, AXP, RIVN, TSLA, LHX, LOB, DDD, CRS, OLN, MCW, NOG, CHWY, SBCF and XM
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (30)

• ITOS, SCHW, NETI, AMN, ASB, WDS, CHTR, HDB, ORLY, CVX, AU, GT, CL, RMD, CFR, IBN, EC, BAH, KLAC, MAG, NARI, EMN, SI, ASPN, INTC, CALX, HAS, CRC, EBC and FIBK
  

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change