Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Volume: Around Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 19.4 -10.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,706.0 +125.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.33 +.12%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.8 -1.0%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 29.5 -1.6%
- ISE Sentiment Index 106.0 -16.0 points
- Total Put/Call 1.04 +18.2%
- NYSE Arms 1.04 +8.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 53.55 -1.8%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 409.60 -2.0%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 60.39 -1.8%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 131.0 -4.0 basis points
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.70 -2.5%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 191.34 -1.0%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 33.26 unch.
- 2-Year Swap Spread 20.75 unch.
- TED Spread 14.75 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -15.5 -3.5 basis points
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 71.5 +1.25 basis points
- IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 72.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 53.50 -.11%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% -1.0 basis point
- Yield Curve 79.5 -2.5 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 110.7 USD/Metric Tonne +.1%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.0 +3.4 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 7.0 -.7 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.1 -.7 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.48 -2.0 basis points
- 91.9%(-.7 percentage point) chance of no change at Jan. 26th meeting, 63.4%(-.8 percentage point) chance of no change at March 16th meeting
US Covid-19:
- 251 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total) -9/100K people
- 47% of Jan. 7th, 2021 peak(highest daily avg. new infections) -2.0 percentage points
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +177 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating +80 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my tech/consumer discretionary/industrial/medical sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long
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