Tuesday, December 21, 2021

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 82.75 -1.25 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 42.75 -1.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 54.43 +.27%. 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 2,655.0 +26.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 23.3 +.6%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.31%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.18%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (KMX)/1.44
  • (CTAS)/2.65
  • (MSM)/1.20
  • (PAYX)/.80
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for Nov. is estimated to fall to .4 versus .76 in Oct.
10:00 am EST
  • The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for Dec. is estimated to rise to 111.0 versus 109.5 in Nov.
  • Existing Home Sales for Nov. is estimated to rise to 6.53M versus 6.34M in Oct.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,979,130 barrels versus a -4,584,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -108,250 barrels versus a -719,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -677,880 barrels versus a -2,852,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.3% versus unch. prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone PPI report and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 1:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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