Thursday, December 22, 2022

Friday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -1.5% to -1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 132.75 +1.0 basis point. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 76.0 unch. 
  • China Iron Ore Spot 109.5 USD/Metric Tonne -1.2%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 47.8 -.07%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index  52.5 -1.2%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.57 -8.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 24.4 +.6%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.16%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.18%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.24%.  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Personal Income for Nov. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.7% gain in Oct.
  • Personal Spending for Nov. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.8% gain in Oct.
  • The PCE Core MoM for Nov. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.5% gain in Oct.
  • The PCE Core YoY for Nov. is estimated to rise +4.6% versus a +5.0% gain in Oct.
  • Durable Goods Orders for Nov. is estimated to fall -1.0% versus a +1.1% gain in Oct. 
  • Durables Ex Transports for Nov. is estimated unch. versus a +.5% gain in Oct.
  • Cap Goods Orders Non-Defense Ex-Air for Nov. is estimated unch. versus a +.6% gain in Oct.
10:00 am EST
  • New Home Sales for Nov. is estimated to fall to 600K versus 632K .
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Italian Business Confidence report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by consumer and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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