S&P 500 3,958.5 -2.5% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 33,686.1 -2.0%
- NASDAQ 11,083.0 -3.1%
- Russell 2000 1,803.96 -4.2%
- S&P 500 High Beta 65.8 -3.10%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 150.09 -8.9%
- Wilshire 5000 39,713.30 -2.8%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,265.89 -2.57%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,514.05 -2.6%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 792.58 -1.29%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,007.86 -1.99%
- NYSE Technology 2,732.24 -1.97%
- Transports 13,797.9 -5.1%
- Utilities 975.20 +.38%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 74.72 -.45%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.18 -.94%
- HFRX Equity Hedge 1,446.25 -.31%
- HFRX Equity Market Neutral 915.79 +.15%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 449,835 -.82%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -222 -379
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -33.9 +4.1%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 239,739 -5.0%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,412,121 +.47%
- Total Put/Call 1.16 +17.9%
- OEX Put/Call 1.02 -2.6%
- ISE Sentiment 103.0 -42.0 points
- NYSE Arms .74 -20.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 48.0 -3.4%
- Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 2.08 -12.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 22.7 +17.4%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .60% -36.8%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 44.1 +7.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.4 -5.2%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.2 -1.97%
- Smart Money Flow Index 14,413.2 -2.2%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 55.7 -8.7
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.718 Trillion +1.0%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$12.233 Million
- AAII % Bulls 24.7 +.8%
- AAII % Bears 41.8 +3.5%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 266.40 -3.7%
- Crude Oil 70.60 -11.4%
- Reformulated Gasoline 204.18 -10.8%
- Natural Gas 6.11 -.53%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 139.11 euros/megawatt-hour -.56%
- Heating Oil 278.80 -11.4%
- Newcastle Coal 372.75 (1,000/metric ton) -3.3%
- Gold 1,798.8 +.11%
- Silver 23.5 +1.7%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 464.35 +.64%
- Copper 386.20 +.64%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 384.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.8%
- China Iron Ore Spot 112.40 USD/Metric Tonne +3.2
%
- Lumber 409.90 +3.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,497.62 +.27%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 495.0 USD/Short Ton -1.98%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +3.37% +53.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -11.2% +1.0 percentage points
- Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 62.5% unch.
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.18 -28.0%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 149.0 +219.0%
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 230.39 +.24: Growth Rate +11.3% unch., P/E 17.3 -.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 19.0 +6.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 38.4 +10.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.3 -3.5 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of a +25.0 basis point rate hike, 77.0%(-1.2 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike and 23.0%(+1.2 percentage points) chance of +75.0 basis point hike on 12/14 to 4.50-4.75%
- US Dollar Index 104.82 +.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,646.50 -.01%
- Bitcoin/USD 17,138.4 +.3%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.8 +1.7%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -75.0 +2.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.56% +1.0 basis point
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.547 Trillion -.01%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.19 -8.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 185.65 +6.6%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 191.0 -1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.55 +1.5%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 74.4 -1.3%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 240.55 +1.9%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.94 +6.3%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 54.1 +6.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 27.1 +.15%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +9.8% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +10.9% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.87% unch.: CPI YoY +7.49% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.28% -13.0 basis points
- TED Spread 46.0 +.5 basis point
- 2-Year Swap Spread 31.5 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.75 +4.75 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 79.9 +2.84%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 318.0 +6.7%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 443.0 +62.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 98.8 +1.4%
- Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 461.18 -.4%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 236.66 +2.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 148.0 +11.0 basis points
- Aggregate US CMBS Average OAS 1.26 -1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS 1.16 -9.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 1.3 unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,318.2 +1.9%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 230,000 +.44%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% +10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.0 +29.6%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.63% +12.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 204,200 -1.9%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.70% -240.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 -8.9% +6.6 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $114.2M -31.5%
- Nationwide Gas $3.32/gallon -.13/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,385 +4.6%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,410.11 -3.7%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 52.50 -16.0%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 43.26 +81.4%
- Rail Freight Carloads 254,165 +23.1%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,199,544 +23.3%
- US Covid-19: 140
infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 8.0%(+2.8 percentage points)
of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) +49/100K people from prior report
- US Covid-19: New patient hospital admissions per 100K -77.5%(+3.0 percentage points) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth -2.6%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth -4.5%
Leading Sectors
- Utilities +.4%
- Steel +.3%
- Pharma +.1%
- Healthcare Providers -.1%
- Video Gaming -.4%
Lagging Sectors
- Banks -5.2%
- Alt Energy -7.44%
- Energy -8.2%
- Oil Service -9.8%
- Marijuana -17.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (3)
- ACLX, DOMO and TH
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (9)
- AB, SNDX, MRTX, LESL, VIST, DVN, GME, CORT and LULU
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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