Monday, June 03, 2019

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Tech Sector Antitrust Fears, China/Mexico Tariff Worries, Global Growth Concerns, Tech/Gaming Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.1 +2.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.29 +.52%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.52 +.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.92 -1.39%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 64.0 -9.86%
  • Total Put/Call 1.16 -.85%
  • NYSE Arms .68 -43.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.34 -.07%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 626.0 +4.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.24 -2.65%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 276.0 -11.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 81.19 +3.41%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 210.17 -.76%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 163.34 +.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 5.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 17.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.0 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.27 +.59%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.33% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 23.25 +3.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 96.05 USD/Metric Tonne -.46%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -35.9 -3.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -26.30 -6.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -26.30 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.74 -1.0 basis point
  • 60.7% chance of Fed rate cut at July 31st meeting, 90.5% chance of cut at Sept. 18th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +10 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -69 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -62 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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