Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 71.75 -.5 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 50.25 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.82 unch.
  • S&P 500 futures -.04%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.16%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (LULU)/.70
  • (OXM)/1.21
  • (RH)/1.53
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The CPI MoM for May is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.3% gain in April.
  • The CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for May is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.1% gain in April.
  • Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY for May.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -894,110 barrels versus a +6,771,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +468,130 barrels versus a +3,205,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +957,750 barrels versus a +4,572,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.51% versus a +.6% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China inflation data reports, $24B 10Y T-Note auction, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the (CTXS) financial analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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