Tuesday, June 04, 2019

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:    
  • Asia Stocks Rally as Fed Signals It's Ready to Act. Stocks in Asia rose after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled an openness to rate cuts, giving a kicker to risk appetite that remains fragile amid trade-war tensions. Treasuries steadied after Tuesday’s drop. Japan led the charge, with the Topix index up more than 1.5%. Gains were more modest in Korea and Australia. The S&P 500 Index rose over 2% and Treasury yields climbed from multi-year lows Tuesday as Powell said the central bank is monitoring the impact of the trade war and would act as appropriate to sustain the U.S. expansion. Japan’s Topix index rose 1.6% as of 9:05 a.m. in Tokyo. Futures on the S&P 500 edged 0.2% higher. The underlying gauge surged 2.1% Tuesday. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index advanced 0.5%. South Korea’s Kospi index added 0.5%.  
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.5% to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 77.25 -3.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 56.50 -3.0 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.54 +.04%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.32%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.47%.
Morning Preview Links 

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (AEO)/.21
  • (BF/B)/.30
  • (CPB)/.47
  • (GIII)/.22
  • (VRA)/-.07
After the Close:
  • (FIVE)/.35
  • (SFIX)/-.03
  • (UNFI)/.52
  • (CLDR)/-.23
  • (CMTL)/.26
  • (ABM)/.42
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for May is estimated at 185K versus 275K in April.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for May is estimated to fall to 55.4 versus 55.5 in April.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -1,433,450 barrels versus a -282,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +354,300 barrels versus a +2,204,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -55,100 barrels versus a -1,615,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.63% versus a +1.3% gain the prior week.
2:00 pm EST
  • Fed's Beige Book report.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Services PMI report, Eurozone PPI report, Eurozone PMI Services report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, Deutsche Bank Industrials Conference, CSFB Energy Conference, William Blair Growth Stock Conference, (IFF) investor day, UBS Industrials/Transport Conference, (PRU) investor day, (PLXS) analyst day and the (COST) May sales results could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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