Friday, November 18, 2022

Weekly Scoreboard*

 

S&P 500 3,957.87 -1.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 33,684.21 -.36%
  • NASDAQ 11,122.62 -2.0%
  • Russell 2000 1,844.03 -2.1%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 65.54 -3.6%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 160.22 -7.9%
  • Wilshire 5000 39,789.57 -.37%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,258.28 -1.7%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,515.51 -1.1%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 777.17 +1.2%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,041.36 -1.4%
  • NYSE Technology 2,705.01 -1.4%
  • Transports 14,251.7 -2.2%
  • Utilities 938.64 +.8%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 74.12 +1.94%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 37.92 -.21%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,433.91 +.08%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 910.14 +.64%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 415,017 -.11%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -234 -179
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -32.4 unch.
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 274,790 +7.8%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,446,658 -.85%
  • Total Put/Call .84 +14.9%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.09 -4.1%
  • ISE Sentiment 116.0 +8.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.32 +43.0
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 47.9 -2.8%
  • Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 1.87 +14.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.4 +3.8%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing .85% -22.7%
  • CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 46.8 +1.9%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 11.0 -1.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 12.1 -1.9%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,685.75 -2.1%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  65.0 +11.7 points
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.625 Trillion +.07%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.820 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 33.5 +33.5%
  • AAII % Bears 40.2 -14.5%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 277.6 -1.6%
  • Crude Oil 80.0 -10.7%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 242.2 -8.3%
  • Natural Gas 6.40 +6.3%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 115.5 euros/megawatt-hour +17.3%
  • Heating Oil 351.84 -2.2% 
  • Newcastle Coal 340.0 (1,000/metric ton) +13.3%
  • Gold 1,748.50 -1.3%
  • Silver 20.87 -3.8%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 435.7 unch.
  • Copper 363.30 -7.7%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 339.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.4%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 97.3 USD/Metric Tonne +3.4%
  • Lumber  430.0 -.44%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,517.40 -.93%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 522.5 USD/Short Ton -1.9%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +4.18% +18.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -14.2% +.7 percentage point
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 62.5% +2.5 percentage points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.7 -18.5%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 108.2 -45.1%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 229.97 -.93:  Growth Rate +11.3% -.3 percentage point, P/E 17.2 unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 11.3 +2.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 15.5 +6.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .7 -3.3 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of a +25.0 basis point rate hike, 75.8%(-9.6 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike and 24.2%(+9.6 percentage points) chance of +75.0 basis point hike on 12/14 to 4.50-4.75%
  • US Dollar Index 106.94 +.49%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,618.29 -.56%
  • Bitcoin/USD 16,597.5 +1.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 149.90 +1.1%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -69.0 -16.5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.81% unch.
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.590 Trillion -.62%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.1 +2.8%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 179.59 -.45%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 189.0 -16.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.11 -4.8%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 79.78 -.1%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 270.21 +1.3%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 38.2 -1.99%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 53.18 -4.6%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.7 +3.2%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.7% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +9.8% -120.0 basis points
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +10.9% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +5.02% unch.: CPI YoY +7.60% -2.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25% -16.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 44.0 -5.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.5 -4.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -52.0 -1.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 82.35 -1.3%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 282.0 -3.1
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 421.0 -56.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 104.11 -3.0%
  • Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 348.21 +9.3%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 254.45 +4.8%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 143.0 +2.0 basis points
  • Aggregate US CMBS Average OAS 1.30 -2.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS 1.19 -3.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 2.6 unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,303.6 +.6%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 221,000 +.9%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.0% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 47.50 +.36%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.87% -4.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 205,200 +2.7%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +7.2% -40.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 -.7% -7.3 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $75.1M -17.3%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.71/gallon -.08/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,228 -9.4%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,729.92 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 67.50 +8.0%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 35.17 -8.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 254,876 -1.5%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,316,875 +23.8%
  • US Covid-19:  84 infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 4.8%(+.0 percentage point) of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) +0/100K people from prior report
  • US Covid-19:  New patient hospital admissions per 100K -84.6%(-.9 percentage point) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value -1.1%
Worst Performing Style
  •  Mid-Cap Growth -2.7%
Leading Sectors
  • Pharma +2.3%
  • Computer Services +2.0%
  • Foods +1.1%
  • Education +1.1%
  • Utilities +.8%
Lagging Sectors
  • Banks -4.0%
  • Gold & Silver -4.2%
  • Internet -4.3%
  • Homebuilding -4.8%
  • Alt Energy -5.2%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (13)
  • CLFD, AMBA, ROST, HLIT, FL, BZH, GES, GPS, BURL, MRTX, CRI, DECK and DNUT
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (16)
  • ROG, W, MASS, LSXMK, MSTR, LSXMA, GLOB, MAX, AFRM, COIN, NEWR, SI, LYV, SAVA, BRBR and RAPT
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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