Wednesday, July 27, 2022

Thursday Watch

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:          
Wall Street Journal:    
Fox News:
CNBC.com:
MarketWatch:             
Zero Hedge:
Newsmax:
TheGatewayPundit.com: 
The Epoch Times:
OpenVAERS:
SKirsch.com:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 156.5 +4.0 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 81.25 -2.0 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 48.92 +.02%.  
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,734.0 -9.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 25.0 unch.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures -.12%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.31%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (AGCO)/2.11
  • (MO)/1.25
  • (AMT)/2.46
  • (BUD)/.75
  • (MT)/4.30
  • (ARCH)/21.79
  • (BAX)/.87
  • (BC)/2.70
  • (CP)/.94
  • (CMCSA)/.92
  • (FCN)/1.67
  • (HOG)/1.05
  • (HSY)/1.68
  • (HTZ)/1.20
  • (HON)/2.03
  • (IP)/1.08
  • (KDP)/.39
  • (LH)/4.68
  • (MA)/2.36
  • (MRK)/1.70
  • (NOC)/6.10
  • (BTU)/3.10
  • (PFE)/1.78
  • (PBI)/.03
  • (RS)/9.01
  • (RCL)/-2.30
  • (SAH)/2.55
  • (SO)/.84
  • (LUV)/1.18
  • (SWK)/2.13
  • (TROW)/2.15
  • (VLO)/9.19
  • (WING)/.36
After the Close:
  • (AMZN)/.12
  • (AAPL)/1.15
  • (BZH)/1.42
  • (DECK)/1.24
  • (EIX)/.90
  • (EW)/.64
  • (FSLR)/-.13
  • (INTC)/.70
  • (KLAC)/5.49
  • (LHX)/3.18
  • (MHK)/4.29
  • (OLN)/2.53
  • (ROKU)/-.68
  • (SKYW)/.44
  • (X)/3.86
  • (VFC)/.14
  • (YUMC)/.01
  • (ZEN)/.12
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST:
  • 2Q GDP is estimated to rise +.4% versus a -1.6% decline in 1Q.
  • 2Q Personal Consumption is estimated to rise +1.2% versus a +1.8% gain in 1Q.
  • 2Q GDP Price Index is estimated to rise +8.0% versus a +8.2% gain in 1Q.
  • 2Q Core PCE QoQ is estimated to rise +4.4% versus a +5.2% gain in 1Q.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week is estimated to fall to 250K versus 251K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims is estimated to rise to 1386K versus 1384K prior.
11:00 am EST
  • The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for July is estimated to fall to 4.0 versus 12.0 in June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German retail sales, Japan Industrial Production, 7Y T-Note auction, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report and the (SCHW) business update could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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